The 1970-72 data-volumes of Gauquelin birthdata gave the results in terms of a 36-fold division of each planetary 'Day.' In the 1980s Michel came to advocate 'enlarged key sectors' comprising 8 out of the 36 sectors. See the diagram on Page Two, with discussion of the 12-sector versus 36 issue. Michel wrote that:
"...the two significant zones of the sky . begin about 10° before the rise or the upper culmination.Since the significant zones somewhat exceed the sector 1 and 4 (in the 12 sector mapping) I now speak of enlarged key sectors or plus zones"1.
Both Suitbert Ertel and Arno Müller used this extended definition for all of their work. The skeptics objected to such a 'moving of the goalposts':
"It is simply not permitted to change key sector definitions and then perform significance tests on already existing samples"2.
I here continue to argue that such enlarged Key-Sectors do in general give less significant results.
The Pegasus program permits a 72-fold division of the data. Using this I added together all the positions of Saturn for 3643 Scientists, Jupiter for 3399 military, for 1466 actors and 1316 politicians, and the Moon for 1352 writers, to give a total of 11,283 sets of eminent-person birthdata. Data for Mars was not included because of its skewed distribution.
What the Gauquelins called Sector 1 was the traditional '12th house' and it here corresponds to sectors 1-6; while their other Key Sector, No. 4, was much the same as the '9th house' and here corresponds to sectors 19-24.
Individual sector-values are here shown, plus a three-point moving average has been put through the data.
There is here an excess of above-horizon score compared to below-horizon, which has not hitherto been noted. It's quite large, a difference of 9 - 10%. A best-fit waveform has been put through the data.
That above / below horizon difference is not astronomical - it's astrological! It is compatible with astrological theory, whereby persons who attain eminence will tend to have their key planet above the horizon.A subtraction was performed to remove that primary waveform. The two 'Key Sectors,' which together comprise 1/6th of the diurnal circle, are here shown:
We can here give a definitive answer, as regards the 'enlarged' Key-Sector definition. By inspection one sees that each of the two data-points just prior to the Key Sectors, are not greatly above the mean value. It is clear that the large excess is held within the two 'Key sectors'.
Chi-squared for two Key Sectors, 1/6 of the total (score 2222, expect 1880) = 62.2
Chi-squared for two enlarged K.S., 2/9 of the total (score 2875, expect 2507) = 54.1
The enlarged definition is massively less significant. Thus, the whole idea was a complete red herring.
Here is a best-fit 'fourth harmonic' wave put though the data. It's been 'amplitude modulated' to make the first two peaks larger. This is the primordial form of The Gauquelin Effect - from a wave-harmonic point of view.