The 1970-72 data-volumes of Gauquelin birthdata gave the results in terms of a 36-fold division of each planetary 'Day.' In the 1980s Michel came to advocate 'enlarged key sectors' comprising 8 out of the 36 sectors. See the diagram on Page Two, with discussion of the 12-sector versus 36 issue. Michel wrote that:
"...the two significant zones of the sky . begin about 10° before the rise or the upper culmination.Since the significant zones somewhat exceed the sector 1 and 4 (in the 12 sector mapping) I now speak of enlarged key sectors or plus zones"1.
Both Suitbert Ertel and Arno Müller used this extended definition for all of their work. The skeptics objected to such a 'moving of the goalposts':
"It is simply not permitted to change key sector definitions and then perform significance tests on already existing samples"2.
I here continue to argue that such enlarged Key-Sectors do in general give less significant results.
The Pegasus program permits a 72-fold division of the data. Using this I added together all the positions of Saturn for 3643 Scientists, Jupiter for 3399 military, for 1466 actors and 1316 politicians, and the Moon for 1352 writers, to give a total of 11,283 sets of eminent-person birthdata. Data for Mars was not included because of its skewed distribution.
What the Gauquelins called Sector 1 was the traditional '12th house' and it here corresponds to sectors 1-6; while their other Key Sector, No. 4, was much the same as the '9th house' and here corresponds to sectors 19-24.
Individual sector-values are here shown, plus a three-point moving average has been put through the data.
There is here an excess of above-horizon score compared to below-horizon, which has not hitherto been noted. It's quite large, a difference of 9 - 10%. A best-fit waveform has been put through the data.That above / below horizon difference is not astronomical - it's astrological! It is compatible with astrological theory, whereby persons who attain eminence will tend to have their key planet above the horizon.
A subtraction was performed to remove that primary waveform. The two 'Key Sectors,' which together comprise 1/6th of the diurnal circle, are here shown:
We can here give a definitive answer, as regards the 'enlarged' Key-Sector definition. By inspection one sees that each of the two data-points just prior to the Key Sectors, are not greatly above the mean value. It is clear that the large excess is held within the two 'Key sectors'.
Chi-squared for two Key Sectors, 1/6 of the total (score 2222, expect 1880) = 62.2
Chi-squared for two enlarged K.S., 2/9 of the total (score 2875, expect 2507) = 54.1
The enlarged definition is massively less significant. Thus, the whole idea was a complete red herring.
Here is a best-fit 'fourth harmonic' wave put though the data. It's been 'amplitude modulated' to make the first two peaks larger. This is the primordial form of The Gauquelin Effect - from a wave-harmonic point of view.